牢牢把握正確輿論導向

2009年2月10日星期二

聲音收藏之侯德健

http://www.likenote.com/note/433-歌词_一九八三_(侯德健)
我們都曾經年少
什麼都不知道 卻只是愛笑
笑爺爺和奶奶為什麼會那麼老
我們都曾經愛笑
笑什麼自己也不知道
卻笑得月亮都彎下了腰
卻笑得大家都莫名其妙
我們都曾經年輕
什麼事都不相信
什麼話也聽不進
只是漫不經心
小小的年紀
卻總是喜歡說曾經 曾經 曾經
我們都曾經愛戀
也曾相信什麼都不會改變
雖然我們也曾經哭泣
我們的眼淚卻曾比蜜糖還要甜
我們都曾經很窮
總是兩手空空 卻更戀愛這一份輕鬆
直到有一天
我們開始有了一點點
才發現樣樣都還差得遠
曾經有一天 早已記不得是哪一年
我們開始喜歡說從前
說起從前仿佛沒好遠
想要說清楚 卻又怕沒時間
說從前
天總是望不穿的天
路總是走不盡的遠
想要的總得不到
卻也從來不知道什麼叫做抱怨
那時候 我們不知道什麼是危險
那時候 我們只知道拼命向前
那時候 我們的汗水曾經比海水還要鹹
想當年 我們曾經一起過河 也曾一起渡橋
說從前 我們曾經一起上學 也曾一起坐牢
我們都曾經一齊東征西討
也曾經就快要一起走到
想當年 誰不是
為了理想而理想
說從前 誰願意
為了抬杠而抬杠
想起當年 誰又不是
站在不同的立場 望著相同的方向
說到從前 誰又願意
只是為了不一樣 就拼了命的不一樣
回想起當年
沒問完的問題很不少
只是到如今
還需要答案的已經不多
關於我從何處來 要往那哪里去
關於可去不可去 能來不能來
關於有與沒有 以及夠與不夠
關於愛與不愛 以及該與不該
關於星星、月亮與太陽
以及春花秋月何時開
關於鴉片戰爭以及八國聯軍
關於一八四○ 以及一九九七
以及關於曾經太左而太右
或者關於太右而太左
以及關於曾經瞻前而不顧後
或者關於顧後卻忘了前瞻
以及或者關於究竟哪一年
我們才能夠瞻前又顧後
或者以及關於究竟哪一天
我們才能夠不左也不右
一次 再一次 永遠 總是
同樣的故事演了再演
一次 又一次 永遠 總是
同樣的叮嚀勸了又勸
就這樣一遍接一遍
總有一天
我們會把所有的欄杆拍遍
只是不知道 那究竟要等到
哪一年
哪一月
那究竟要等到哪一天

2009年2月8日星期日

新聞週刊封面報導:我們現在都是社會主義分子

In many ways our economy already resembles a European one. As boomers age and spending grows, we will become even more French

We Are All Socialists Now

By Jon Meacham and Evan Thomas NEWSWEEK
Published Feb 7, 2009
From the magazine issue dated Feb 16, 2009


The interview was nearly over. on the Fox News Channel last Wednesday evening, Sean Hannity was coming to the end of a segment with Indiana Congressman Mike Pence, the chair of the House Republican Conference and a vociferous foe of President Obama's nearly $1 trillion stimulus bill. How, Pence had asked rhetorically, was $50 million for the National Endowment for the Arts going to put people back to work in Indiana? How would $20 million for "fish passage barriers" (a provision to pay for the removal of barriers in rivers and streams so that fish could migrate freely) help create jobs? Hannity could not have agreed more. "It is … the European Socialist Act of 2009," the host said, signing off. "We're counting on you to stop it. Thank you, congressman."
There it was, just before the commercial: the S word, a favorite among conservatives since John McCain began using it during the presidential campaign. (Remember Joe the Plumber? Sadly, so do we.) But it seems strangely beside the point. The U.S. government has already—under a conservative Republican administration—effectively nationalized the banking and mortgage industries. That seems a stronger sign of socialism than $50 million for art. Whether we want to admit it or not—and many, especially Congressman Pence and Hannity, do not—the America of 2009 is moving toward a modern European state.
We remain a center-right nation in many ways—particularly culturally, and our instinct, once the crisis passes, will be to try to revert to a more free-market style of capitalism—but it was, again, under a conservative GOP administration that we enacted the largest expansion of the welfare state in 30 years: prescription drugs for the elderly. People on the right and the left want government to invest in alternative energies in order to break our addiction to foreign oil. And it is unlikely that even the reddest of states will decline federal money for infrastructural improvements.
If we fail to acknowledge the reality of the growing role of government in the economy, insisting instead on fighting 21st-century wars with 20th-century terms and tactics, then we are doomed to a fractious and unedifying debate. The sooner we understand where we truly stand, the sooner we can think more clearly about how to use government in today's world.
As the Obama administration presses the largest fiscal bill in American history, caps the salaries of executives at institutions receiving federal aid at $500,000 and introduces a new plan to rescue the banking industry, the unemployment rate is at its highest in 16 years. The Dow has slumped to 1998 levels, and last year mortgage foreclosures rose 81 percent.
All of this is unfolding in an economy that can no longer be understood, even in passing, as the Great Society vs. the Gipper. Whether we like it or not—or even whether many people have thought much about it or not—the numbers clearly suggest that we are headed in a more European direction. A decade ago U.S. government spending was 34.3 percent of GDP, compared with 48.2 percent in the euro zone—a roughly 14-point gap, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. In 2010 U.S. spending is expected to be 39.9 percent of GDP, compared with 47.1 percent in the euro zone—a gap of less than 8 points. As entitlement spending rises over the next decade, we will become even more French.
This is not to say that berets will be all the rage this spring, or that Obama has promised a croissant in every toaster oven. But the simple fact of the matter is that the political conversation, which shifts from time to time, has shifted anew, and for the foreseeable future Americans will be more engaged with questions about how to manage a mixed economy than about whether we should have one.
The architect of this new era of big government? History has a sense of humor, for the man who laid the foundations for the world Obama now rules is George W. Bush, who moved to bail out the financial sector last autumn with $700 billion.
Bush brought the Age of Reagan to a close; now Obama has gone further, reversing Bill Clinton's end of big government. The story, as always, is complicated. Polls show that Americans don't trust government and still don't want big government. They do, however, want what government delivers, like health care and national defense and, now, protections from banking and housing failure. During the roughly three decades since Reagan made big government the enemy and "liberal" an epithet, government did not shrink. It grew. But the economy grew just as fast, so government as a percentage of GDP remained about the same. Much of that economic growth was real, but for the past five years or so, it has borne a suspicious resemblance to Bernie Madoff's stock fund. Americans have been living high on borrowed money (the savings rate dropped from 7.6 percent in 1992 to less than zero in 2005) while financiers built castles in the air.
Now comes the reckoning. The answer may indeed be more government. In the short run, since neither consumers nor business is likely to do it, the government will have to stimulate the economy. And in the long run, an aging population and global warming and higher energy costs will demand more government taxing and spending. The catch is that more government intrusion in the economy will almost surely limit growth (as it has in Europe, where a big welfare state has caused chronic high unemployment). Growth has always been America's birthright and saving grace.
The Obama administration is caught in a paradox. It must borrow and spend to fix a crisis created by too much borrowing and spending. Having pumped the economy up with a stimulus, the president will have to cut the growth of entitlement spending by holding down health care and retirement costs and still invest in ways that will produce long-term growth. Obama talks of the need for smart government. To get the balance between America and France right, the new president will need all the smarts he can summon.